Omdia: Global Smartphone Market Edges up 1% in 1Q26, Beating Expectations Despite Growing Supply Chain Bottlenecks and Cost Pressures

Omdia

According to Omdia’s latest research, the global smartphone market performed above expectations in 1Q26, growing by 1% year on year. However, this growth does not yet reflect the full impact of rising supply-side costs, as vendor inventory frontloading in the channel temporarily supported shipments. Memory and storage costs are increasing sharply, while vendors have not fully implemented retail price increases across all markets. Mobile DRAM and NAND prices rose by around 90% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 and are expected to increase a further 30% in Q2, significantly increasing bill-of-materials. At the same time, early signs of logistics and trade flow disruption are adding friction to global supply chains.

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Global smartphone market grew 1% in 1Q26 as cost pressures build and demand outlook weakens.

Samsung reclaimed the top position in Q1, supported by resilient flagship demand and strong Galaxy S26 series pre-orders – up more than 10% globally compared with the Galaxy S25 series – despite launch delays impacting its mid-range refresh cycle. Apple also delivered a strong quarter, supported by stable pricing and steady demand for the iPhone 17 series, despite some regional supply disruptions. Beyond the top two, most Android vendors are facing challenges on both volumes and margins, responding with tighter portfolios, selective launches and more disciplined pricing. However, within the “Others” category, Huawei’s strong domestic performance, supported by competitive pricing, and HONOR’s continued overseas expansion drove share gains.

“Vendors have little choice but to raise prices as cost pressures intensify”, said Sanyam Chaurasia, Principal Analyst at Omdia. “While price increases are happening across the industry, the impact is not uniform. Vendors with greater exposure to entry and mid-tier segments, such as Xiaomi and TRANSSION, are more exposed due to thinner margins and limited pricing power. In contrast, Apple has largely held pricing, while Samsung is taking a more market-selective approach. Beyond headline price increases, vendors are also managing margins through configuration changes, reduced promotions and tighter channel pricing. This is creating a more complex pricing environment, with financing and trade-ins playing a bigger role in supporting demand.”

“The worst is still ahead as cost-driven headwinds weigh on the smartphone value chain,” commented Runar Bjorhovde, Principal Analyst at Omdia. “In the near term, higher pricing is creating a demand shock, with consumers delaying purchases, before gradually adapting as pricing stabilises. At the same time, uncertainty around pricing and availability is prompting some channel partners to increase inventory, temporarily supporting shipments. However, this will delay rather than offset the impact for vendors, with pressure expected to intensify as the year progresses. Vendors will need to focus on margin protection, tighter portfolios and higher-value opportunities while strengthening brand and channel execution. Omdia expects the global smartphone market to be increasingly skewed to the downside in 2026, with shipments likely to decline by around 15% amid escalating costs and macro volatility.

ABOUT OMDIA

Omdia, part of TechTarget, Inc. d/b/a Informa TechTarget (Nasdaq: TTGT), is a technology research and advisory group. Our deep knowledge of tech markets grounded in real conversations with industry leaders and hundreds of thousands of data points, make our market intelligence our clients’ strategic advantage. From R&D to ROI, we identify the greatest opportunities and move the industry forward.

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